

142 

FNUS54 KMRX 121449 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS 

MORNING...BEFORE SOME CLEARING TAKES PLACE BY THE AFTERNOON. A LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER 

MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY NIGHT...AND WILL BRING MOSTLY 

RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  15-20 (-4)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  66-71 (-6)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     W 16         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  15-20 (-3)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   61-66 (-21)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  18-23 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   59-64 (-20)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  20-25 (-1)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   60-65 (-19)  15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  18-23 (-3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   63-68 (-13)  13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  17-22 (-4)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   63-68 (-12)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  19-24 (-2)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  62-67 (-10)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

950 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013 /850 AM CST THU DEC 12 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  21-26 (+1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   61-66 (-12)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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