

591 

FNUS54 KMRX 120114

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO 

DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY NIGHT... 

AND WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR 

THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (0)    28-33 (-13)  15-20        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-16)  33-38 (-8)   68-73        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (0)    28-33 (-12)  15-20        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-14)  33-38 (-5)   65-70        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  9 G19     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-4)   29-34 (-12)  16-21        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-6)   31-36 (-7)   67-72        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   35-40 (-10)  18-23        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   28-33 (-6)   67-72        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-3)   35-40 (-10)  17-22        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   29-34 (-5)   68-73        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+1)   31-36 (-12)  17-22        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-19)  31-36 (-8)   66-71        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   33-38 (-11)  18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-15)  29-34 (-10)  65-70        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

814 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013 /714 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    37-42 (-10)  20-25        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-17)  28-33 (-8)   66-71        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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