

320 

FNUS54 KMRX 111955

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO 

DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY NIGHT... 

AND WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR 

THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   28-33 (-13)  15-20        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-19)  33-38 (-8)   68-73        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   28-33 (-12)  15-20        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-18)  33-38 (-5)   65-70        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  9 G19     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-2)   29-34 (-12)  16-21        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-9)   31-36 (-7)   67-72        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   35-40 (-10)  18-23        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-13)  28-33 (-6)   67-72        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   35-40 (-10)  17-22        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   29-34 (-5)   68-73        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+3)   31-36 (-12)  17-22        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-22)  31-36 (-8)   66-71        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+1)   33-38 (-11)  18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-17)  29-34 (-10)  65-70        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EST WED DEC 11 2013 /155 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+2)   37-42 (-10)  20-25        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-19)  28-33 (-8)   66-71        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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