

202 

FNUS54 KMRX 100827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING. A LARGE AREA OF RAIN 

WILL AFFECT MOST OF THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA...

WHILE A LIGHT WINTRY MIX OCCURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND 

PLATEAU INTO SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND 

ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY...WITH CLEARING SKIES 

BY THE AFTERNOON IN ALL AREAS. 



A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR MID-WEEK...

BRINGING A WELCOMED RETURN TO DRY WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH 

FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  15-20 (-14)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-25)  79-84 (-16)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5 G15     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 21         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  18-23 (-15)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-36)  73-78 (-24)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     W  9 G24     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W 21         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   19-24 (-14)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-49)  73-78 (-23)  15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G18    W  5 G17     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W 17         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   19-24 (-16)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-47)  76-81 (-20)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   18-23 (-22)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-50)  77-82 (-19)  14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   16-21 (-17)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-31)  82-87 (-12)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 15         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   19-24 (-11)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-26)  79-84 (-14)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013 /227 AM CST TUE DEC 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   21-26 (-12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-26)  80-85 (-12)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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