

229 

FNUS54 KMRX 092043

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY PRODUCING A WINTRY MIX 

OVER THE PLATEAU..NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.  

ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SOME SNOW ANTICIPATED.  A RIDGE OF HIGH 

PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR MID-WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  31-36 (-14)  15-20        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-24)  83-88        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   33-38 (-14)  18-23        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-33)  74-79        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 15 G26    NW  9 G22    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 29        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   35-40 (-13)  20-25        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   45-50 (-41)  70-75        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G26    N  6 G16     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 20. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  37-42 (-11)  21-26        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   41-46 (-40)  69-74        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   39-44 (-12)  21-26        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   37-42 (-43)  66-71        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  35-40 (-11)  17-22        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  53-58 (-28)  78-83        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  35-40 (-11)  19-24        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  50-55 (-23)  75-80        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

343 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013 /243 PM CST MON DEC 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  35-40 (-12)  21-26        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  49-54 (-19)  75-80        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













