

417 

FNUS54 KMRX 090844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT STALLED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL FINALLY 

MOVE EAST TO THE ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST 

OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON TUESDAY...WITH A LIGHT 

WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND THE HIGHER 

TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR TUESDAY 

NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   29-34 (-10)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-9)   95-100 (0)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.19         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 23         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   34-39 (-4)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   95-100 (0)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.26         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 29        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    35-40 (-6)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   95-100 (-1)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.37         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   39-44 (-6)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   95-100 (-2)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.41         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   40-45 (-5)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.41         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW 25        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   34-39 (-7)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   95-100 (-1)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.26         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 25. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   32-37 (-9)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-9)   95-100 (-2)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.25         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013 /244 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   35-40 (-7)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-14)  90-95 (-7)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.34         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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