

562 

FNUS54 KMRX 080900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS

MIDDLE TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF 

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET EARLY THIS MORNING...ACROSS NORTHERN 

MOST PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND IN SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. 

TEMPERATURES WARM AFTER SUNRISE...WITH A LARGE AREA OF RAIN EXPECTED 

FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... 

RIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   37-42 (+8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   95-100 (+1)  81-86        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S  7 G15     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.37         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   37-42 (+7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   95-100 (+3)  73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.34         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-091000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   41-46 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    95-100 (0)   72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G30                  SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G28     S 11 G27     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.51         0.67         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-091000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   44-49 (+6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   95-100 (+3)  80-85        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G26                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     SE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.77         0.56         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-091000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   45-50 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+17)  95-100 (+1)  83-88        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    SE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.51         0.62         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             7                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    40-45 (+8)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   95-100 (+3)  75-80        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.36         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   41-46 (+9)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  74-79        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.59         0.23         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

400 AM EST SUN DEC 8 2013 /300 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    43-48 (+7)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+12)  95-100 (+6)  81-86        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.78         0.20         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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