

976 

FNUS54 KMRX 072053

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

GULF MOISTURE SPREADS QUICKLY NORTH TONIGHT WITH A LARGE AREA OF 

RAIN DEVELOPING BY MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND 

PLATEAU AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. THE RAIN CONTINUES SUNDAY THROUGH 

MONDAY... BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO INHIBIT ANY MORE 

WINTRY PRECIPITATION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   38-43 (+2)   37-42        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   82-87 (+7)   95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE  7 G15    SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.39         0.56         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   37-42 (0)    37-42        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  77-82 (+1)   89-94        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    S 10 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.15         0.37         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   43-48 (+5)   42-47        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   80-85 (+2)   91-96        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G24                  SW  6 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G24     S 11 G28     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.23         0.62         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            2            2            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    47-52 (+6)   45-50        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  76-81 (+1)   91-96        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G18    SE 10 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.40         0.79         0.64         

LAL                   1            1            2            2            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   49-54 (+1)   45-50        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   74-79 (+8)   90-95        69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.36         0.61         0.61         

LAL                   1            1            2            2            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 31        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   40-45 (-1)   40-45        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  79-84 (+12)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE  6        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.24         0.57         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    41-46 (+3)   41-46        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   79-84 (+9)   95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.59         1.00         0.42         

LAL                   1            1            2            2            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

353 PM EST SAT DEC 7 2013 /253 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   44-49 (+1)   44-49        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   71-76 (+8)   95-100       70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        S  9 G17     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.55         1.18         0.51         

LAL                   1            1            2            2            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1300                      1500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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