

992 

FNUS54 KMRX 070953

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WET WEATHER TODAY AS A COLD FRONT DROPS 

SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. HOWEVER...GULF MOISTURE 

SPREADS QUICKLY NORTH TONIGHT WITH A LARGE AREA OF RAIN DEVELOPING 

BY MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR 

SLEET ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND 

SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. THE RAIN CONTINUES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY... 

BUT TEMPERATURES WARM ENOUGH TO INHIBIT ANY MORE WINTRY 

PRECIPITATION. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-10)  30-35 (-1)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    95-100 (0)   82-87        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         9 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.49         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 14         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-25)  30-35 (-6)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   95-100 (-1)  75-80        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.12         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     S 20         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-081100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-21)  33-38 (-3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+14)  95-100 (0)   83-88        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.22         0.50         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-081100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-24)  38-43 (0)    46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+25)  95-100 (0)   80-85        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.26         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 23         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-081100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-18)  38-43 (-3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   95-100 (0)   81-86        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.26         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S 22         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             7                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  32-37 (-3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    95-100 (0)   77-82        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         9 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 15         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   32-37 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-15)  95-100 (0)   78-83        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G16    NE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.59         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

453 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013 /353 AM CST SAT DEC 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   37-42 (+4)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-17)  91-96 (-5)   73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G17    NE  8 G17    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.63         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      S 25         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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