

481 

FNUS54 KMRX 062044

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WET AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL 

DAYS...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION.  PRECIPITATION WILL AGAIN INCREASE TONIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF 

BRIEFLY ON SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT ROUND OF 

RAIN QUICKLY RETURNS BY EARLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WITH A LIGHT 

WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  35-40 (-17)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (-2)   95-100       76-81        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   9 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.01         0.22         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-20)  37-42 (-26)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   65-70 (+6)   95-100       71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.03         0.25         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-072145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-19)  37-42 (-25)  31-36        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  71-76 (+12)  95-100       80-85        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NE  5        E  5         S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.04         0.24         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW 38        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-072145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-18)  39-44 (-24)  35-40        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   67-72 (+11)  95-100       79-84        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     N  7         NE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.03         0.24         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S 35         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-17)  46-51 (-17)  35-40        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  65-70 (-4)   95-100       79-84        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.04         0.22         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S 30         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-17)  39-44 (-19)  31-36        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  59-64 (+4)   95-100       74-79        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   9 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.01         0.26         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  38-43 (-12)  31-36        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (-4)   95-100       75-80        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NE  8        NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          10           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.27         0.50         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW 28        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 PM EST FRI DEC 6 2013 /244 PM CST FRI DEC 6 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-20)  40-45 (-13)  35-40        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-3)   91-96        74-79        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NE  9        NE  7 G16    S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ DRZL     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       5                         5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.28         0.53         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S 33         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$













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