

700 

FNUS54 KMRX 051536

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WE WILL TRANSITION INTO A WET AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE 

NEXT SEVERAL DAY AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION.  PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST LATE THIS 

AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. A BREAK IN 

THE RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY...HOWEVER...IT WILL BE BRIEF 

AS PRECIPITATION ONCE AGAIN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   46-51 (-4)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  95-100 (+8)  76-81        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  8 G16     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.45         0.48         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 43        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF

LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   48-53 (-1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+9)   95-100 (+9)  71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G18     SW  8 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.31         0.21         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 41        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-061645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   49-54 (-2)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    95-100 (+5)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW 11 G25    SW 11 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.44         0.58         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 48        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-061645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   53-58 (0)    62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    95-100 (+1)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  9 G18     SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.43         0.63         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 41        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-061645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   53-58 (+2)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    95-100 (0)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  8 G15     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.39         0.52         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 40        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   49-54 (-2)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   95-100 (+9)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7         W  6 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.44         0.46         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 38        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   49-54 (-6)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   95-100 (+1)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7 G16    NW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.61         0.90         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 41        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1036 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 /936 AM CST THU DEC 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   52-57 (-5)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   95-100 (0)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  8 G15     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.51         0.75         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 40        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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