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989 

FNUS54 KMRX 031610 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 

FEW DAYS. A VERY WET PATTERN WILL THEN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION BY 

THE END OF THE WEEK...AND WILL LINGER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DEEP 

AND MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REMAINS OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   41-46 (+4)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   95-100 (+3)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   40-45 (+4)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   95-100 (+8)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-041700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   42-47 (+5)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   45-50 (+6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   95-100 (+1)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 32         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   46-51 (+7)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   95-100 (0)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 29        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             7                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   41-46 (+4)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   43-48 (+3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   95-100 (0)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1110 AM EST TUE DEC 3 2013 /1010 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   46-51 (+4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   95-100 (+3)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 32         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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