

276 

FNUS54 KMRX 030255

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM PATTERN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING SOME FIFTEEN 

TO TWENTY DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A VERY WET 

PATTERN WILL THEN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEK... 

AND WILL LINGER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY 

FLOW REMAINS OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040400-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   56-61 (+8)   43-48        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+9)   50-55 (-10)  92-97        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040400-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   52-57 (+6)   42-47        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   56-61 (-2)   93-98        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040400-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   53-58 (+8)   44-49        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+12)  56-61 (-8)   93-98        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  8 G21     S 16 G30     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 32        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040400-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   57-62 (+8)   46-51        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 58-63 (-15)  94-99        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  7 G17    S 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 30        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040400-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   56-61 (+8)   45-50        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  61-66 (-13)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 26        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   58-63 (+9)   45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  50-55 (-11)  93-98        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040400-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   58-63 (+9)   47-52        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 54-59 (-8)   93-98        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5 G15    SW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 32        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040400-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

955 PM EST MON DEC 2 2013 /855 PM CST MON DEC 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   59-64 (+10)  49-54        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 59-64 (-7)   93-98        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G17     S 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 32        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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