

164 

FNUS54 KMRX 021619 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



UPDATED TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES AND POPS SLIGHTLY FOR REST OF DAY.

ALSO ADJUSTED MIXING HEIGHTS...TRANSPORT WINDS AND DISPERSION VALUES

SLIGHTLY.  



.DISCUSSION...

A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA 

TODAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT 

RAIN...MAINLY SOUTH. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031730-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   36-41 (+1)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  92-97 (+11)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031730-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   34-39 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  92-97 (+15)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031730-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   37-42 (+3)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+19)  89-94 (+14)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031730-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   38-43 (+3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+24)  95-100 (+13) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 17         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031730-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   38-43 (+6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+26)  95-100 (+3)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   35-40 (+1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+15)  94-99 (+14)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   38-43 (-2)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+18)  95-100 (+23) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031730-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1119 AM EST MON DEC 2 2013 /1019 AM CST MON DEC 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   40-45 (0)    60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+21)  95-100 (+19) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 17         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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