

150 

FNUS54 KMRX 012000

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA 

LATE TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME 

LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY SOUTH. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+7)   47-52 (-4)   34-39        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   53-58 (+11)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   44-49 (-6)   32-37        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   51-56 (+13)  93-98        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW 17        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   45-50 (-5)   37-42        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   57-62 (+19)  86-91        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  50-55 (-3)   39-44        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  58-63 (+19)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   51-56 (-3)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  57-62 (+18)  92-97        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   48-53 (-5)   34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   55-60 (+19)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   49-54 (-4)   38-43        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  60-65 (+22)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST SUN DEC 1 2013 /200 PM CST SUN DEC 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  51-56 (-2)   40-45        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  62-67 (+22)  95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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