

814 

FNUS54 KMRX 010819

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY.  A WEAK UPPER AIR 

DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   32-37 (+8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   93-98 (+10)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   30-35 (+8)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+15)  92-97 (+12)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W  6         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   33-38 (+10)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+22)  90-95 (+4)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  8         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   34-39 (+10)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+18)  95-100 (+3)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-020930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   33-38 (+9)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+22)  95-100 (+3)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   31-36 (+9)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  95-100 (+6)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   34-39 (+8)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  95-100 (+6)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EST SUN DEC 1 2013 /219 AM CST SUN DEC 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   36-41 (+10)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+15)  95-100 (+6)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













