

053 

FNUS54 KMRX 300812

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL 

PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH A 

WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL

MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY PRODUCING A CHANCE OF RAIN AREA-WIDE.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   27-32 (+5)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   82-87 (-12)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   24-29 (+3)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   87-92 (-7)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 16         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   26-31 (+4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   94-99 (+3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    27-32 (+3)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   95-100 (+7)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   28-33 (+4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   95-100 (+5)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   27-32 (+4)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   89-94 (-6)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   29-34 (+5)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   91-96 (-2)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

312 AM EST SAT NOV 30 2013 /212 AM CST SAT NOV 30 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   31-36 (+5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   91-96 (+5)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND

40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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