

256 

FNUS54 KMRX 270754

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY 

PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...MAINLY 

THIS MORNING.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION 

TONIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS AND 

UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR THE REST OF THE 

WEEK...STARTING ON THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  13-18 (-12)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-20)  92-97 (-5)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW 10 G21    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  12-17 (-14)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-24)  88-93 (-9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G29                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW 14 G29    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  12-17 (-13)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-28)  95-100 (-1)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G26                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    N  8 G24     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 28. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   15-20 (-12)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-37)  86-91 (-11)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 13 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 29                      N  7         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   15-20 (-11)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-35)  82-87 (-15)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 16 G28                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    N 10 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 31                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   13-18 (-14)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-27)  91-96 (-6)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW  6        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   14-19 (-13)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-30)  89-94 (-8)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 /154 AM CST WED NOV 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   16-21 (-12)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-41)  81-86 (-16)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      N  5         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













