

566 

FNUS54 KMRX 261938

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING ACROSS THE 

SOUTHEAST...BRINGING A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. THIS RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SNOW LATE 

TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVER 

MUCH OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. DRY 

CONDITIONS AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR 

THE REST OF THE WEEK...STARTING ON THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-5)   27-32 (-12)  13-18        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  71-76 (-11)  88-93        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G16     NW 13 G23    W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.14         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   26-31 (-12)  12-17        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  67-72 (-13)  87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 17 G30    NW 10 G25    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.10         0.18         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 35                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   26-31 (-12)  11-16        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-22)  88-93        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 14 G26    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.11         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   29-34 (-11)  14-19        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-28)  81-86        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G17     NW 12 G23    N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 33                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   29-34 (-12)  14-19        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-23)  79-84        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G28                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 14 G24    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 37                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   29-34 (-11)  14-19        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  65-70 (-17)  81-86        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G22    W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   30-35 (-10)  14-19        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  58-63 (-23)  79-84        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G21     NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

238 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 /138 PM CST TUE NOV 26 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   31-36 (-10)  15-20        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (-35)  79-84        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G25     NW 10 G20    N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 32                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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