

176 

FNUS54 KMRX 260931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



...STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TODAY ACROSS THE 

SOUTHEASTERN...BRINGING A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. THIS RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SNOW LATE 

TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVER 

MUCH OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. DRY 

CONDITIONS AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR 

THE REST OF THE WEEK...STARTING ON THANKSGIVING DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   27-32 (-3)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+50)  95-100 (+4)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G16     NW 15 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.21         0.90         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      NW 31        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   28-33 (-1)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+50)  95-100 (+2)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 NW 16 G32    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    LGT/VAR      NW 19 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.52         1.10         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NW 32        

DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-270915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   27-32 (-2)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+48)  95-100 (0)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G17                 NW 15 G32    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 16 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.51         0.82         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      NW 29        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 

17. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-270915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   28-33 (-2)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+53)  95-100 (0)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 15 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6 G18     NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.52         0.62         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 31        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-270915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   28-33 (-2)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+47)  95-100 (0)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 17 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 16 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.64         0.65         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NW 33        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             8                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   29-34 (-2)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+52)  95-100 (+3)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NW 14 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.32         0.92         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW 28        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   27-32 (-4)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+50)  95-100 (+3)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  9 G22     NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.06         0.56         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NW 29        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 /500 AM CST TUE NOV 26 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   28-33 (-3)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+55)  95-100 (+3)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     NW 14 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G15    N 11 G27     NW 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.16         0.38         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NW 29        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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