

720 

FNUS54 KMRX 251934

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES...WILL TRACK 

NORTHEAST OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY.  

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE UNDERWAY TONIGHT... 

BEFORE COMPLETELY CHANGING TO RAIN ON TUESDAY. RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE 

TO SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW 

ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THANKSGIVING DAY IS SUNNY SKIES...BUT CONTINUED COLD 

WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+16)  37-42 (-1)   25-30        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+38) 59-64 (+32)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         1.18         0.75         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     NW 29        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

10 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+16)  38-43 (+2)   27-32        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+38) 63-68 (+39)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     NW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       5            6            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         1.77         0.81         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      NW 32        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

11 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+15)  41-46 (+5)   26-31        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+32) 75-80 (+49)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         E  5         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            6            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         1.74         0.67         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NW 26        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

9 TO 17. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+15)  41-46 (+3)   29-34        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+35) 74-79 (+48)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      N 13 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        N 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         1.71         0.57         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      NW 26        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

14 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+15)  41-46 (+3)   30-35        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 75-80 (+48)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         1.83         0.64         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NW 31        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          10                        4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+16)  39-44 (0)    28-33        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+32) 66-71 (+42)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         1.43         0.69         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+13)  40-45 (0)    27-32        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+36) 69-74 (+45)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        NW  6        NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         1.06         0.43         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

234 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 /134 PM CST MON NOV 25 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+13)  40-45 (0)    28-33        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 69-74 (+45)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7 G15    N  7 G16     N 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         1.20         0.33         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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