

078 

FNUS54 KMRX 250815

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...AND ALSO FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. A 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO 

TONIGHT...AND WILL QUICKLY SPREAD MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE 

POSSIBLE TONIGHT...BEFORE COMPLETELY CHANGING OVER TO RAIN BY 

TUESDAY. RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  31-36 (+17)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   88-93 (+29)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         1.40         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 17         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  30-35 (+17)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   87-92 (+28)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.35         1.71         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 20         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  30-35 (+15)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    90-95 (+25)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.58         1.86         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 14         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   31-36 (+14)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   93-98 (+31)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.70         1.90         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S  9         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   31-36 (+14)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    95-100 (+34) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.71         2.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 15         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             2                         9            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  32-37 (+17)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   88-93 (+23)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         1.57         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 14         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   32-37 (+14)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   88-93 (+27)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         1.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  9         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013 /500 AM CST MON NOV 25 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   32-37 (+13)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    90-95 (+30)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.64         1.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      E  9         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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