

257 

FNUS54 KMRX 241929

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION INTO MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 

DEVELOP BY MONDAY NIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES...THEN TRACK 

NORTHEAST OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY.  

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE UNDERWAY BY MONDAY NIGHT... 

BEFORE COMPLETELY CHANGING TO RAIN ON TUESDAY. RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE 

TO SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW 

ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THANKSGIVING DAY IS SUNNY SKIES...BUT CONTINUED COLD 

WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (0)    38-43 (+11)  29-34        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  23-28 (-7)   86-91        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.32         1.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT SLEET...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 21.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-1)   37-42 (+11)  30-35        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   21-26 (-7)   82-87        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.43         1.62         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT SLEET...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-252030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-2)   37-42 (+11)  32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   18-23 (-9)   87-92        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.63         1.68         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 20.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-252030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   38-43 (+8)   33-38        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-20)  20-25 (-9)   92-97        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.77         1.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 22.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-252030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    36-41 (+6)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-12)  22-27 (-6)   92-97        67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.74         1.62         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 25        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          2                         8            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 21.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   40-45 (+11)  31-36        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   22-27 (-6)   88-93        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.44         1.53         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      1500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WITH

SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    40-45 (+9)   31-36        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   24-29 (-4)   86-91        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.52         1.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 22.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

229 PM EST SUN NOV 24 2013 /129 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (0)    39-44 (+7)   32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-8)   23-28 (-6)   88-93        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        S  5         LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.84         1.45         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      E  5         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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