

955 

FNUS54 KMRX 241500

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES 

LINGERING FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 

DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL 

SPREAD MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE 

POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE COMPLETELY CHANGING TO RAIN ON 

TUESDAY. RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-17)  15-20 (-1)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-23)  60-65 (-11)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-17)  14-19 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-26)  59-64 (-9)   14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-16)  15-20 (-3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-27)  64-69 (-9)   12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-251600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  18-23 (-2)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-33)  66-71 (-16)  13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 22                      S 13         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-18)  17-22 (-1)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-28)  68-73 (-4)   12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      S 12         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-19)  16-21 (-2)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-23)  62-67 (-4)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-16)  18-23 (-1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-25)  63-68 (-3)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013 /900 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-15)  20-25 (-1)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-27)  65-70 (-1)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G17    NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 20                     S 14         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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