

993 

FNUS54 KMRX 231926

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...USHERING IN UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF NEXT 

WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF 

COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING RAIN OVER THE REGION... 

AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY TO THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-21)  26-31 (-16)  15-20        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-16)  21-26 (-43)  63-68        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT SLEET AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-22)  25-30 (-20)  14-19        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-20)  21-26 (-36)  58-63        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G24                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    N 10 G22     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

VERY LIGHT SLEET AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-20)  26-31 (-18)  16-21        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-24)  13-18 (-47)  69-74        12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G23     N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-20)  33-38 (-15)  18-23        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-25)  13-18 (-49)  73-78        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G25     N  9 G17     E  5         S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  35-40 (-15)  18-23        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-23)  10-15 (-49)  77-82        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 14 G25     N  7         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND

30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  30-35 (-17)  16-21        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-19)  20-25 (-36)  65-70        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  32-37 (-13)  18-23        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-20)  20-25 (-35)  67-72        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G20     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND VERY LIGHT SLEET

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

226 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013 /126 PM CST SAT NOV 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-20)  35-40 (-12)  20-25        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-25)  17-22 (-38)  70-75        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 11 G19                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G23     NE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 21                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH UP TO 10 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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