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598 

FNUS54 KMRX 231629 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF 

NEXT WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN 

GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING RAIN OVER THE 

REGION...AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241730-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  17-22 (-20)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-25)  66-71 (-30)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW 12 G22    N  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 21         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241730-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  16-21 (-22)  23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-27)  68-73 (-28)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 N 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 13 G26    N  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 24         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR

30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241730-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  17-22 (-21)  24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-29)  68-73 (-29)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N 10 G21     N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 21         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241730-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-9)   19-24 (-21)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-31)  71-76 (-26)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  N 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N 12 G25     N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 24         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241730-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   18-23 (-22)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-35)  77-82 (-20)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N 12 G23     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 21         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  18-23 (-22)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-27)  70-75 (-25)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  8 G17    N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 17         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  18-23 (-22)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-28)  69-74 (-26)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  9 G19     N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 17         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241730-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1129 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013 /1029 AM CST SAT NOV 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-11)  20-25 (-21)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-26)  66-71 (-29)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G17                  NE 10        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G20     N 11 G21     NE  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      NE 21        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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