

819 

FNUS54 KMRX 230802

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF 

NEXT WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN 

GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING RAIN OVER THE 

REGION...AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SNOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  17-22 (-20)  26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-37)  65-70 (-31)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW 12 G22    N  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 21         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. NOT AS COLD. 

LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  16-21 (-22)  23-28        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-33)  68-73 (-28)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 N 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 13 G26    N  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 24         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR 

30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   17-22 (-21)  24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-37)  68-73 (-29)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N 10 G21     N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 21         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS COLD. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-8)   19-24 (-21)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-38)  71-76 (-26)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  N 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N 12 G25     N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 24         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  18-23 (-22)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-37)  77-82 (-20)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N 12 G23     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 21         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  18-23 (-22)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-34)  70-75 (-25)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  8 G17    N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 17         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS COLD. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  18-23 (-22)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-38)  69-74 (-26)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  9 G19     N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 17         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013 /500 AM CST SAT NOV 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   20-25 (-21)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-38)  66-71 (-29)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G17                  NE 10        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G20     N 11 G21     NE  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      NE 21        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







