

937 

FNUS54 KMRX 222015

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED CLOUDINESS AND RAINSHOWERS WILL PERSIST 

ACROSS THE AREA INTO SATURDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON 

SATURDAY AND USHERS IN UNSEASONABLY COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND 

MONDAY. A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST ON 

MONDAY WILL BRING MORE PRECIPITATION INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

BY TUESDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   44-49 (-14)  15-20        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  53-58 (-22)  81-86        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      N 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW 10        NW 10 G20    N 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 22         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   45-50 (-11)  18-23        25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (-19)  74-79        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 N 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    NW 11 G21    NW 12 G24    NW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N 25         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR

30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   47-52 (-7)   19-24        26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  37-42 (-39)  70-75        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  8 G17     N 10 G21     N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N 22         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   48-53 (-9)   21-26        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  40-45 (-36)  72-77        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  N 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N 11 G19     N 11 G21     N 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.04         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      N 26         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    51-56 (-7)   21-26        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  38-43 (-37)  71-76        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G18     N 11 G20     N  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.04         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N 25         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR

30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   47-52 (-12)  19-24        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 49-54 (-21)  77-82        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8 G16    NW  7 G16    N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR

30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   46-51 (-12)  18-23        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 45-50 (-31)  75-80        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  9 G17     N  9 G19     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EST FRI NOV 22 2013 /215 PM CST FRI NOV 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   48-53 (-10)  19-24        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  46-51 (-27)  70-75        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  NE 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     N 11 G19     N 11 G21     N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N 22         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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