

088 

FNUS54 KMRX 220826

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY 

TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT FOR TODAY AND INTO 

TONIGHT. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 

SATURDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR SUNDAY AND 

MONDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON 

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN ON TUESDAY AND SNOW 

ON WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   41-46 (-5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   95-100 (+9)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  6        NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.34         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   42-47 (-2)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    95-100 (+9)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  7        NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.27         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 

TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   42-47 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  6        N  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.41         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N 17         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 

TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   44-49 (-2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-5)   95-100 (+7)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  5        N 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.39         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N 20         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   45-50 (0)    52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-9)   95-100 (+7)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.28         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     N 18         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   43-48 (-3)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+9)   95-100 (+10) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  6        NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.38         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   43-48 (-5)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+19)  95-100 (+10) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  6 G15    N  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.41         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N 17         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 20 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2013 /500 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   45-50 (-4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+13)  95-100 (+9)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  6 G15    N 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.38         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N 21         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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