

075 

FNUS54 KMRX 210943

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY WILL SHIFT 

EAST AS CLOUDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM OVER 

THE PLAINS STATES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL TODAY AND WARM 

TO ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. RAIN WILL 

SPREAD INTO THE REGION FRIDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES 

FROM THE WEST.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   41-46 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+17)  95-100 (+24) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 25.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   39-44 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+24)  95-100 (+16) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 13         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 25.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+24)  95-100 (+15) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 25.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   43-48 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+28)  95-100 (+17) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   42-47 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+27)  94-99 (+14)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   40-45 (+8)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+19)  95-100 (+21) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   43-48 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+20)  95-100 (+20) 56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 27.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

443 AM EST THU NOV 21 2013 /343 AM CST THU NOV 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   45-50 (+5)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+25)  92-97 (+21)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 26.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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