

480 

FNUS54 KMRX 201932

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL RESULT IN 

DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THURSDAY. THE 

NEXT CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   53-58 (+5)   38-43        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   51-56 (+15)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND

20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   50-55 (+3)   37-42        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+10)  52-57 (+19)  95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND

17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   52-57 (+3)   39-44        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   51-56 (+19)  88-93        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   55-60 (+2)   42-47        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   52-57 (+22)  82-87        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   56-61 (+4)   41-46        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   53-58 (+21)  82-87        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   55-60 (+4)   39-44        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   47-52 (+15)  94-99        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   57-62 (+4)   43-48        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   47-52 (+16)  85-90        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 28.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

232 PM EST WED NOV 20 2013 /132 PM CST WED NOV 20 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   57-62 (+2)   45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   50-55 (+22)  80-85        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR

50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$













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