

743 

FNUS54 KMRX 200852

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL RESULT IN 

DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THURSDAY. THE 

NEXT CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   30-35 (+5)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   78-83 (+7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   28-33 (+3)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   93-98 (+22)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G18    SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-211000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   28-33 (+2)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-9)   95-100 (+29) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-211000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   32-37 (+3)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-8)   91-96 (+23)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     S 16         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-211000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   31-36 (+3)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-5)   95-100 (+26) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     S 13         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   30-35 (+4)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   85-90 (+11)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     S  6         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   32-37 (+4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   79-84 (+6)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 10         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

352 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013 /252 AM CST WED NOV 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   35-40 (+5)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   76-81 (+7)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     S 20         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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