

535 

FNUS54 KMRX 191928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL RESULT IN 

DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THURSDAY. THE 

NEXT CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    47-52 (+2)   29-34        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    34-39 (-1)   77-82        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    46-51 (+3)   27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   34-39 (-1)   81-86        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    48-53 (+3)   28-33        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   28-33 (-5)   78-83        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S  7         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    51-56 (+2)   32-37        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   28-33 (-6)   79-84        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    50-55 (-2)   30-35        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   26-31 (-7)   81-86        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   50-55 (+3)   30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   33-38 (-1)   80-85        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    52-57 (+3)   32-37        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   32-37 (-3)   77-82        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

228 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2013 /128 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   53-58 (+3)   35-40        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   31-36 (-3)   76-81        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$













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