

919 

FNUS54 KMRX 181936

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. SUNNY DAYS...AND MOSTLY 

CLEAR NIGHTS...WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS CAN 

BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  44-49 (-12)  27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  37-42 (0)    73-78        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SE 14        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-20)  43-48 (-12)  25-30        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  36-41 (-2)   77-82        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SE 15        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  44-49 (-11)  25-30        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-16)  34-39 (-4)   80-85        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-20)  49-54 (-10)  27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-20)  33-38 (-3)   82-87        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     SE 13        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-21)  50-55 (-9)   26-31        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  31-36 (-5)   81-86        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     SE 13        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-18)  47-52 (-11)  27-32        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  36-41 (+1)   78-83        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     SE 14        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-18)  48-53 (-10)  28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  36-41 (-2)   78-83        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

235 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013 /135 PM CST MON NOV 18 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  50-55 (-10)  29-34        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  35-40 (-1)   79-84        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 24                     SE 14        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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