

492 

FNUS54 KMRX 172132

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH HIGH 

PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT THROUGH MID WEEK. TEMPERATURES BEHIND 

THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   55-60 (-10)  28-33        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  35-40 (-36)  85-90        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    NW 10 G19    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NE 14        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   54-59 (-9)   26-31        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  34-39 (-33)  84-89        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G21                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G34    NW 12 G22    NW  9 G20    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   54-59 (-7)   27-32        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  34-39 (-45)  81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G35    NW  9 G17    N  8 G17     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   58-63 (-5)   31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   32-37 (-51)  78-83        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G30    NW  9        N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NE  8        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   58-63 (-4)   31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   32-37 (-54)  75-80        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     NW 10 G17    N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE  5        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   57-62 (-10)  29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  33-38 (-33)  81-86        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    NW  9 G18    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   58-63 (-6)   30-35        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  34-39 (-43)  81-86        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    NW  8 G15    N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NE 14        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

430 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 /330 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   60-65 (-5)   33-38        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   33-38 (-47)  79-84        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    NW  8 G16    N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NE 15        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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