

633 

FNUS54 KMRX 171530

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE AREA LATER TODAY AND WILL PUSH 

THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT. HIGH

PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY AND WILL CONTROL

OUR WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.   

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   45-50 (-2)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   95-100 (+6)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 10 G22     NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.34         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   45-50 (-1)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   95-100 (+2)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S 12 G24     NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.34         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   45-50 (-1)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   95-100 (+1)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SW 14 G32    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.37         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   49-54 (+1)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+12)  95-100 (0)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S 12 G25     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.46         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   50-55 (+3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+22)  95-100 (0)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  9 G20     NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.49         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   47-52 (-1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   95-100 (+7)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 10 G21     NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.34         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   46-51 (-3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   95-100 (+3)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW 11 G22    NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.39         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 36                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1030 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 /930 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+9)   48-53 (-1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   95-100 (0)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     SW 11 G20    NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.41         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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