

469 

FNUS54 KMRX 161947

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY AND WILL PUSH THROUGH 

SUNDAY NIGHT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY 

AND WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.   

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  63-68 (+4)   44-49        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  64-69 (+1)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     S 12 G21     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    8            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.34         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   61-66 (+3)   43-48        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   65-70 (+2)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G15                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 10 G20     S 12 G22     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.34         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  62-67 (+4)   44-49        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   68-73 (+5)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 12 G25     S 14 G26     NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.33         0.37         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  64-69 (+4)   48-53        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   70-75 (+7)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S 11 G23     S 11 G23     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.41         0.46         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  64-69 (+3)   49-54        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   71-76 (+11)  95-100       33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 10 G19     S 10 G19     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.43         0.49         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+11)  64-69 (+3)   45-50        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  68-73 (+7)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S 10 G19     NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    8            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.34         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  65-70 (+6)   45-50        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  70-75 (+4)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     SW 11 G21    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.39         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

247 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2013 /147 PM CST SAT NOV 16 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  66-71 (+7)   47-52        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   71-76 (+7)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 11 G20     S 11 G20     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.41         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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