

560 

FNUS54 KMRX 161502

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND  A 

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS 

SYSTEM. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   47-52 (+8)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+19)  95-100 (-2)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   46-51 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+14)  95-100 (+4)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-171615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  47-52 (+8)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+14)  95-100 (+1)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G15     S 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-171615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+9)   49-54 (+8)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   95-100 (0)   67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G17    S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-171615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+9)   48-53 (+8)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   95-100 (0)   68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   48-53 (+8)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+12)  95-100 (0)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+9)   50-55 (+10)  66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+10)  95-100 (-1)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 32        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1002 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2013 /902 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  51-56 (+9)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+11)  95-100 (+1)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  7 G17     S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 31        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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