

569 

FNUS54 KMRX 151926

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION  

TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ADVANCING 

ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. THE LIGHT RAIN WILL GIVE WAY TO 

AREAS OF FOG SATURDAY MORNING. THE FOG WILL GIVE WAY TO A PARTLY TO 

MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES SATURDAY. A STRONGER 

SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND A 

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+15)  60-65 (+8)   46-51        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 54-59 (+13)  87-92        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.01         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+15)  59-64 (+10)  45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+36) 54-59 (+7)   86-91        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.01         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-162030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  59-64 (+13)  46-51        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+36) 54-59 (+4)   85-90        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         0.28         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-162030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+16)  61-66 (+11)  48-53        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 55-60 (-4)   86-91        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-162030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  61-66 (+11)  47-52        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+12)  53-58 (-15)  87-92        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  61-66 (+9)   47-52        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+30) 54-59 (+4)   85-90        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.01         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  62-67 (+11)  49-54        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+35) 54-59 (+1)   85-90        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

226 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 /126 PM CST FRI NOV 15 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+13)  63-68 (+13)  50-55        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+33) 54-59 (+1)   86-91        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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