

193 

FNUS54 KMRX 150744

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY 

AND TONIGHT. CLOUDS COVER WILL INCREASE WITH WIDESPREAD LIGHT 

PRECIPITATION ADVANCING ACROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   41-46 (+16)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+16)  90-95 (+16)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    40-45 (+16)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+23)  92-97 (+20)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   40-45 (+12)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+30)  94-99 (+25)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   43-48 (+17)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+39)  92-97 (+7)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 10         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   42-47 (+18)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+49)  91-96 (-1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 10         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   42-47 (+18)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+28)  91-96 (+8)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   42-47 (+14)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+31)  93-98 (+17)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2013 /144 AM CST FRI NOV 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   43-48 (+13)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+33)  93-98 (+16)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 13         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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