

464 

FNUS54 KMRX 150225 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WILL DRIFT EAST.  AN UPPER 

LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY 

NIGHT...THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL REGAIN CONTROL FOR SATURDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   51-56 (0)    40-45        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   35-40 (+13)  87-92        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   49-54 (0)    39-44        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+15)  41-46 (+21)  85-90        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+7)   46-51 (-4)   39-44        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+20)  50-55 (+35)  84-89        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   50-55 (-3)   42-47        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+25) 61-66 (+47)  83-88        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   51-56 (-3)   41-46        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 67-72 (+55)  88-93        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   51-56 (-2)   41-46        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  44-49 (+25)  82-87        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+7)   49-54 (-4)   41-46        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+11)  50-55 (+32)  85-90        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

925 PM EST THU NOV 14 2013 /825 PM CST THU NOV 14 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   50-55 (-3)   42-47        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+16)  56-61 (+40)  89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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