

491 

FNUS54 KMRX 140814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. 

THE INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF A DEPARTING 

SURFACE HIGH WILL BRING JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO THE REGION FOR A 

SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER ON FRIDAY AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH MOVES 

ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THERE WILL BE A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF 

RAIN LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM 

MOVES INTO THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+13)  26-31 (+7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-23)  69-74 (-8)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  23-28 (+3)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-17)  77-82 (+10)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   24-29 (+3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-10)  80-85 (+18)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   26-31 (+6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-8)   89-94 (+15)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 17         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   25-30 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      12-17 (-6)   92-97 (+12)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 17         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+13)  24-29 (+6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-15)  79-84 (-3)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  27-32 (+6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-11)  82-87 (+6)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST THU NOV 14 2013 /214 AM CST THU NOV 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   30-35 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-9)   82-87 (+7)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 17         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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