

616 

FNUS54 KMRX 131951

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON THURSDAY AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE 

WEEKEND. AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE 

RISING TEMPERATURES...WITH A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY SUNDAY 

AND MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+3)   50-55 (+13)  25-30        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  21-26 (-19)  66-71        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+5)   47-52 (+11)  23-28        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   19-24 (-15)  73-78        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+5)   48-53 (+8)   24-29        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   17-22 (-6)   74-79        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+2)   52-57 (+8)   26-31        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+22)  14-19 (-7)   83-88        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     S 16         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    53-58 (+8)   24-29        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+28)  13-18 (-5)   84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    51-56 (+12)  24-29        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+21)  21-26 (-11)  75-80        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+2)   52-57 (+11)  27-32        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+17)  20-25 (-8)   77-82        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     S 16         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

251 PM EST WED NOV 13 2013 /151 PM CST WED NOV 13 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+2)   52-57 (+8)   30-35        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+22)  18-23 (-6)   80-85        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     S 16         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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