

248 

FNUS54 KMRX 130814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLD...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. SUNSHINE WILL NOT BE OF MUCH HELP AS HIGH 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TWELVE TO EIGHTEEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL 

TOPPING OUT IN THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. A PLEASANT WARMING 

TREND WILL COMMENCE ON THURSDAY...CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 60S TO 

AROUND 70 BY SUNDAY. AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY 

THE RISING TEMPERATURES...WITH A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY 

SUNDAY AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   20-25 (+4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  70-75 (-8)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   18-23 (+3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-18)  69-74 (-9)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      W 12         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-140915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   18-23 (+2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-24)  70-75 (-3)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 15                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-140915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    19-24 (+1)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-22)  72-77 (+1)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 16                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-140915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   19-24 (+1)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-24)  70-75 (-3)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   18-23 (0)    52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-18)  78-83 (+5)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   21-26 (+2)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  75-80 (+3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013 /214 AM CST WED NOV 13 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   21-26 (+1)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  74-79 (+3)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 15                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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