

000 

FNUS54 KMRX 120746

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



...BRISK NORTH WINDS TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH FOLLOWED BY

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING SOME 

LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...GUSTY WINDS...AND MUCH COLDER 

TEMPERATURES. AFTER A VERY COLD WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL 

GRADUALLY GET WARMER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  18-23 (-17)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  83-88 (+4)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G24     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      N 15         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-19)  16-21 (-20)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+25)  80-85 (+6)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G26                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 14 G25     N 10 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      N 18         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  16-21 (-21)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+30)  85-90 (+9)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G23                  NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 14 G26     N 12 G25     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      NE 16        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-20)  19-24 (-18)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+24)  73-78 (-4)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G27                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 16 G28     N 13 G25     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      NE 17        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-20)  18-23 (-16)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+23)  74-79 (-1)   14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 15 G27     N 13 G24     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      N 15         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  18-23 (-20)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+26)  81-86 (+3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 22                      N 10         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-20)  20-25 (-19)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+23)  79-84 (-1)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G25     N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      N 12         

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

246 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2013 /146 AM CST TUE NOV 12 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-18)  20-25 (-21)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+19)  73-78 (-7)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 14 G26                  N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 15 G27     N 11 G20     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      NE 15        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$

















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