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FNUS54 KMRX 120204 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY... BRINGING 

SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. 

DRIER WEATHER RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH BELOW NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   35-40 (-23)  18-23        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+13)  56-61 (+32)  81-86        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 11 G19     N  8 G15     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   37-42 (-20)  17-22        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   52-57 (+29)  77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     N 10 G19     NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   9 PM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+8)   38-43 (-20)  18-23        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   50-55 (+26)  77-82        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G22                  NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 12 G23     N 11 G23     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   42-47 (-19)  21-26        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   47-52 (+23)  74-79        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 14 G24     N 11 G23     N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+13)  43-48 (-19)  20-25        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   46-51 (+23)  75-80        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 13 G23     N 11 G23     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM                                  

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   38-43 (-21)  19-24        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   54-59 (+30)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 11 G19     N  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   38-43 (-23)  20-25        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+9)   52-57 (+27)  75-80        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

904 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013 /804 PM CST MON NOV 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   42-47 (-20)  22-27        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+7)   46-51 (+20)  72-77        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 13 G21     N 10 G19     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      NE 13        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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