

152 

FNUS54 KMRX 110758

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TODAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE

HUMIDITIY WILL DROP INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE...BUT WINDS WILL

BE LESS THAN 10 MPH. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION

ON TUESDAY...BRINGING SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...AND MUCH

COLDER TEMPERATURES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE A TENTH OF AN

INCH OR LESS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    33-38 (+6)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   78-83 (+9)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      N 20         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 16 TO

24. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   35-40 (+11)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   72-77 (+5)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N 18         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 15 TO

23. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    36-41 (+10)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-10)  72-77 (-2)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N 17         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 13 TO

24. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 23. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   39-44 (+11)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   75-80 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 15 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      N 23         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    37-42 (+13)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   81-86 (+5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      N 20         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   37-42 (+10)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   76-81 (+4)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N 17         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   38-43 (+8)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   75-80 (+2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N 21         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 AM EST MON NOV 11 2013 /158 AM CST MON NOV 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   41-46 (+8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-5)   76-81 (+1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 15 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N 23         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$

















