

479 

FNUS54 KMRX 102002

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWEST 

VA AND NORTHEAST TN...



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH VETERANS DAY. A STRONG COLD 

FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY...BRINGING SOME 

LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   57-62 (-1)   33-38        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-16)  27-32 (-3)   89-94        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        N 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 

25. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   55-60 (-3)   32-37        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-10)  27-32 (-3)   86-91        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G17     W  5         LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 25. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  55-60 (-3)   32-37        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   31-36 (0)    90-95        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 26. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   57-62 (-5)   35-40        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-7)   32-37 (+1)   86-91        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-112100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   57-62 (-5)   34-39        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-13)  31-36 (+1)   85-90        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   58-63 (-3)   34-39        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-9)   29-34 (0)    90-95        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 20 TO 

26. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   59-64 (-3)   35-40        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   30-35 (-1)   92-97        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2013 /200 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   59-64 (-6)   37-42        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-7)   32-37 (+2)   86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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