

019 

FNUS54 KMRX 101503 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHWEST VA AND 

EXTREME NORTHEAST TN...



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER THROUGH 

VETERANS DAY. A COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY WILL BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN 

AND SNOW...AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    28-33 (-2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   75-80 (-14)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 12         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    30-35 (-4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   71-76 (-8)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G25    N  5 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     W 10         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 

26. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   31-36 (-7)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    69-74 (-13)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W  9         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   33-38 (-3)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   70-75 (-13)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   32-37 (-1)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   72-77 (-18)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    29-34 (-3)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   79-84 (-5)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W  9         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   31-36 (-3)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   78-83 (-5)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1000 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2013 /900 AM CST SUN NOV 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   33-38 (-2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    78-83 (-7)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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