

087 

FNUS54 KMRX 071952

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR 

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH VETERANS DAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL 

BRING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-21)  47-52 (-2)   26-31        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  33-38 (-17)  71-76        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-22)  46-51 (-3)   25-30        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  33-38 (-18)  71-76        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-22)  47-52 (-2)   27-32        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  34-39 (-15)  71-76        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G20    N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-21)  51-56 (-1)   29-34        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  31-36 (-16)  71-76        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G17     N  7         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-24)  51-56 (-1)   27-32        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  31-36 (-17)  75-80        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     N  7         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-23)  49-54 (-3)   27-32        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-9)   33-38 (-15)  75-80        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-18)  51-56 (0)    29-34        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  33-38 (-13)  74-79        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013 /150 PM CST THU NOV 7 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-16)  54-59 (+2)   31-36        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-16)  31-36 (-14)  72-77        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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